Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,243$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(407 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,178.5}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 37.3)}}\) (asimptote \(2,178.5\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $99$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(12.8 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{102.2}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(102.2\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $121$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $33,188$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(2.25 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,757.6}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 57.1)}}\) (asimptote \(35,757.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $3,992$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(357 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,009.1}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 42.2)}}\) (asimptote \(4,009.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $24,225$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,346$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(2.06 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,025.4}{1 + 10^{-0.052 (t - 31.2)}}\) (asimptote \(8,025.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $235$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(49.7 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{228.0}{1 + 10^{-0.062 (t - 28.8)}}\) (asimptote \(228.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $384$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,568$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(739 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,682.0}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 47.0)}}\) (asimptote \(6,682.0\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $306$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(36.5 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{308.6}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 34.6)}}\) (asimptote \(308.6\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,462$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $11,487$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(1.82 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,346.4}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 39.7)}}\) (asimptote \(11,346.4\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $561$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(104 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{551.9}{1 + 10^{-0.048 (t - 31.5)}}\) (asimptote \(551.9\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $892$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,804$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(521 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,802.1}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,802.1\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(3.39 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.2}{1 + 10^{-0.071 (t - 22.5)}}\) (asimptote \(10.2\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $56,810$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(8 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{55,303.9}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 40.3)}}\) (asimptote \(55,303.9\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,237$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(1.23 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,968.4}{1 + 10^{-0.060 (t - 36.8)}}\) (asimptote \(8,968.4\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,418$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $258,504$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(2.02 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{265,347.7}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 50.0)}}\) (asimptote \(265,347.7\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $36,757$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(3.87 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35,733.5}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 41.0)}}\) (asimptote \(35,733.5\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $220,598$ on 2020-05-23
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $229,327$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(3.91 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{223,372.7}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 41.7)}}\) (asimptote \(223,372.7\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $32,735$ on 2020-05-23
Best fit exponential: \(4.76 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{31,660.6}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 43.4)}}\) (asimptote \(31,660.6\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $57,752$ on 2020-05-23
